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News and Views...

Topical articles, commentary and interviews from the unit trust industry and the broader economy, edited by Liz Still, Head of Research at Equinox.co.za. Please email liz@Equinox.co.za with any comments or suggestions.

Many of these articles have appeared as part of our regular newsletter.

Displayed:   Recent Articles

09 Mar 10 Emerging market strength: when the answer confounds then reformulate the question!: Analytics
Lance Vogel, CIO of Analytics writes that South Africa had very positive news last week; Treasury has covered our foreign borrowing needs for the coming year by raising $2 billion in global..
09 Mar 10 New CEO at Stanlib
STANLIB’s new CEO Thabo Dloti has taken up his post in Melrose Arch. He will also exercise executive duties across Liberty Properties and Liberty Corporate Benefits and Group..
09 Mar 10 The importance of repeatable fund manager performance
Ian de Lange of Seed Investments writes that Warren Buffett has been described as one of the best investors of all time. He has a fantastic long term track record as an allocator of capital. But..
09 Mar 10 The Rand, inflation targeting and the ‘PIGIS’
Chris Gilmour, an analyst at Absa Asset Management Private Clients writes that the rand appears to have been remarkably strong in the past year or so, prompting some observers to call for..
08 Mar 10 Closure of the SIM World Big Blue Chip Fund
EFS Investment Solutions has been informed by Sanlam Collective Investments that the asset manager has decided to close the SIM World Big Blue Chip..
08 Mar 10 Lessons to be learned from Warren Buffet's most recent shareholder letter
Mark Cliff of Alphen Asset Management takes a look at Warren Buffet’s most recent letter to the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. and what lessons may be learned from the World’s Greatest..
05 Mar 10 Market returns – It is not all what it seems
Philipp Wörz of Alphen Asset Management comments on how local markets have performed in the uncertain and volatile conditions since the start of the year, and looks at some of the constituents..
04 Mar 10 A major driver of global risk assets has been cheap money
Ian de Lange of Seed Investments writes that central banks around the world have maintained ultra low interest rates and for the most part this is continuing with two major central banks making..
25 Feb 10 Targeted Absolute and Real Return funds misunderstood: Plexus
The Targeted Absolute and Real Return funds subsector received the second largest volume of inflows during the fourth quarter of 2009. However, according to Dr Prieur du Plessis, chairman of the..
19 Feb 10 The Four 'C's: Currencies, Commodities, China and Confidence
Adrian Clayton of Alphen Asset Management writes that regular readers will know that Alphen takes a long-term investment view; the investment team were bullish last year believing that markets..
19 Feb 10 More Budget 2010 analysis
Arthur Kamp, Sanlam Investment Managers Investment Economist writes that government has committed to an achievable, sustainable fiscal..
18 Feb 10 Plexus asks: What now for stock markets?
We have seen global developed stock markets, as represented by the MSCI World Index, rise by more than 75% from the March 2009 low to the mid-January 2010 high. Emerging markets, as represented..
18 Feb 10 Budget wrap-up
Mike Browne of Seed Investments writes that yesterday was the first time in around a decade and a half that South Africans didn’t hear Trevor Manuel deliver the national Budget Speech. Pravin..
18 Feb 10 Double-dip risk?
Stephen Roach, chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia recently wrote a column for Bloomberg Markets in which he explored the risk and likelihood of double-dip for the global economy. This article was..
18 Feb 10 PIGS and a different type of flu: Analytics
Lance Vogel of Analytics writes that global markets are faced with three areas of worry at the moment. China is slowing lending, Greece is testing EU resolve and the pace of economic recovery..
15 Feb 10 Leading indicators and what they tell us
Philipp Wörz of Alphen Asset Mangagemetn writes on economic indicators and what they tell us. He says that 2010 will be a year of economic recovery, both globally and locally. The question that..
10 Feb 10 Global inflation outlook: Coronation
Chantal Valentine of Coronation Asset Managers writes that inflation is low for now but it may not stay that..
09 Feb 10 New appointments at Stanlib
Stanlib has announced a number of new senior appointments. They include a new Chief Investment Officer, a new Head of Research a new Head of Credit Research and a new Small and Mid Caps Fund..
07 Feb 10 Are US bonds worth the paper they are written on?
Ian de Lange of Seed Investments writes that there are a growing number of voices calling for the shorting of global bonds. Some, like Marc Faber, have called it the short of the century. ..
05 Feb 10 Why are we still worried? asks Atlantic
Albert Botha, analyst at Atlantic Asset Management writes that a casual look at the world seems to induce much less panic now than it would have 12 months ago. At that time we were facing down..
05 Feb 10 What should you Asset Allocation be in 2010?
Greg Flash from Alphen Asset Management writes that asset classes in 2009 were a mixed bag and looks at options for..
05 Feb 10 The ‘picture show version’ of what is going on in the US economy
At a presentation last week, Kevin Lings, Chief Economist at Stanlib ran his audience through a presentation he appropriately called ‘What..
04 Feb 10 2008 was a free-fall; 2009 was a bungee snap-back; so what will 2010 bring?
Tony Gibson, a founder member of Coronation and a former CIO of the company writes that in the present investing environment it would seem that a portfolio of intrinsically undervalued global..
03 Feb 10 South African Collective Investment Schemes valued at R786 billion
A press release from Association for Savings and Investment South Africa (Asisa) has announced that the value of the collective investments industry is now R786 billion, with inflows of R125..
03 Feb 10 From the 1990’s to the present: It's 'déjà vu all over again'!
Terence Craig, Chief Investment Officer at Element Investment Managers writes that this quote, attributed to baseball’s Yogi Berra, (a 60’s a New York Yankees baseball player) seems entirely..
03 Feb 10 Emerging markets: Are they too expensive?
Ian de Lange of Seed Investments writes that there are various views on the valuation of emerging markets. Some strategists are saying expensive, others such as Franklin Templeton, fully priced..
03 Feb 10 The old normal versus the new normal
Ian de Lange of Seed Investments writes that the US consumer confidence level increase of 2,3 points in January and with December is positive but notes that this comes off a very low..
01 Feb 10 10 reasons why you should expect lower returns from equities over the next 10 years: Alphen
Shaun le Roux of Alphen Asset Management writes that many equity managers tend to have something hardcoded into their DNA that results in them always being positive on the..
01 Feb 10 Trailing JSE Price/Earnings ratio down for January
Ian de Lange of Seed Investments writes that the December inflation data was released on Wednesday last week, reflecting a year on year price gain of 6,3% up from 5,8% in November. This rise..
01 Feb 10 Investigation into Dividend Income Funds by the FSB
The Financial Services Board (FSB) has announced that it is currently conducting an investigation into Dividend Income unit trust funds. These funds are under review as some of them use opaque..
28 Jan 10 Currently no margin of safety in listed property: Regarding Capital Management
The RECM Investment Team have looked into investing in listed property and concluded that although there have been spectacular returns over the past ten years, right now they do not consider..
28 Jan 10 SA Listed property shows its mettle: Prieur du Plessis
Dr Prieur du Plessis, chairman of the Plexus group says that listed South African real estate instruments are showing their mettle and continue to offer value in the global..
28 Jan 10 Market as clear as mud: Atlantic
Arno Lawrenz of Atlantic Asset Management writes that the market outlook remains clear as mud with even the post MPC statement clearly depicting an organisation not 100% sure of itself. The fact..
25 Jan 10 The global investment environment is currently a mix of troubled government finances and excess liquidity: Adrian Saville
Adrian Saville, CIO of Cannon Asset Managers writes that there is evidence of growth in the global investment environment, but growth should be seen against a backdrop of weak fiscal positions..
25 Jan 10 Not raging bears but definitely taking on a cautious approach: Alphen
Adrian Clayton of Aphen Asset Management writes that he chuckled quietly to himself when he explored the thought earlier in January that this was going to be a difficult year with respect to..
25 Jan 10 Which unit trusts did investors back in 2009, asks Plexus.
Prieur du Plessis, Chairman of the Plexus Group writes that global credit crisis in mid-2007, 2008 and the start of 2009 caused high investor risk aversion. Unit trust investors moved large sums..
25 Jan 10 Debt is never free: Duncan Artus
Duncan Artus, portfolio manager at Allan Gray writes that governments around the world are engaged in significant fiscal and monetary stimulus. But there is some doubt about whether their..
21 Jan 10 (A) yr f fllng n th gps - f y cn ndrstnd ths, y’ll d wll n 2010!
Arno Lawrenz of Atlantic Asset Management writes that a couple of years ago well- known online financial newsletter guru, John Mauldin, coined the phrase, “statistical recovery.” While this could..
21 Jan 10 Save more, expect lower returns and don't listen to daily investment news for the next five years: Peter Brooke
Investors should start getting used to the idea that real returns will be lower over the next few years, says Peter Brooke, head of Macro Strategy Investments at Old Mutual Investment Group SA...
19 Jan 10 Divergent returns between 2000 and 2009
Mike Browne of Seed Investments writes that reflecting back on 2009 we can see that the different asset classes returned widely varying returns over the..
19 Jan 10 Did some value fund managers fail investors in 2009?
Some analysts described the 3rd March 2009 price lows, when the JSE All Share index was at 17 953 as 'the buying opportunity of a generation'. So which fund managers actually went to the sale..
19 Jan 10 Alphen Asset Management Asset Class View: Long offshore, long cash and on-weight equities
Neels van Schaik of Alphen Asset Management writes that despite the bumpy ride we experienced early in 2009, market valuation levels in the market towards the end of the first quarter in 2009..
18 Jan 10 2010: More tricky than most expect
Shaun le Roux of Alphen Asset Managers writes that 2010 has started with an improved mood, compared to this time last year. He says that a few Alphen clients have remarked that 2010 will almost..
15 Jan 10 Investing 2010: Sober thinking required
Lance Vogel, CIO of Analytics Investments writes that while guarded optimism seems to be widespread as we head into 2010, it does not take long to identify possible storm cells on the horizon..
15 Jan 10 Europe: Recession might officially be over but output and GDP lagging
Mike Browne of Seed Investments writes that many eyes follow the news out of the US purely as it is still has the largest economy in the world, and also because Americans are well versed in..
14 Jan 10 The bubble decade?
Ian Liddle, Chief Investment Officer at Allan Gray wonders what will our children and grandchildren will think when they look back on the stock market record for the first decade of the 21st..
13 Jan 10 Guess which has performed more over three years: the equity market or the bond market?
Mike Browne of Seed Investments writes that he came across an interesting graph that showed the performance of the local equity market (as represented by the FTSE/JSE All Share) compared to the..
06 Jan 10 Change of management at Prudential Portfolio Managers
Prudential has announced the appointment of Bernard Fick (pictured) as Chief Executive following the promotion of Graham..
05 Jan 10 Twenty worst funds of 2009: Some clear trends
While there are few dominant trends or themes in the top twenty funds of 2009, many of the bottom twenty funds on the EFS Investment Solutions websites are from the same investment categories...
05 Jan 10 The twenty best funds over 2009: A real hotch potch
The twenty best performing funds for the 2009 calendar year include four Mining and Resource Funds, three General Equity Funds (two domestic and one foreign), three Financial Sector Funds, two..
29 Dec 09 How patience and understanding your emotions will improve your investment outcome.
Piet Viljoen, Chief Investment Officer of Regarding Capital Management describes how his company makes investment decisions and how these are implemented...
29 Dec 09 The economy: Kevin Lings
Kevin Lings, Chief Economist at Stanlib writes that over a year has already gone by since the global financial crisis began in September 2008. Although most economies remain fragile, there are..
29 Dec 09 A Paradigm shift: Post crisis opportunities (or why economists are not very good at economics)
Eric Lonergan, Director, Asset Allocation, M&G London writes that as humans, whether we admit it or not, we all defer to and like to have structures, paradigms, checklists or frameworks for..
29 Dec 09 A place for property: Two different views
Keillen Ndlovu and Evan Jankelowitz, Co-Portfolio Managers of the Stanlib Property Income Fund write that many would be surprised to hear that listed property has been the best performing asset..
29 Dec 09 A place for property: Two different views
Neels van Schaik of Alphen Asset Management writes that the property investors are divided into two very firm camps, the believers and the non-believers. We see ourselves as the 'middle camp',..
22 Dec 09 Senior management changes at Prudential Portfolio Managers
Graham Mason, Chief Executive Officer, Prudential Portfolio Managers (South Africa) has accepted an offer to move within the Prudential Group to take up the position of Chief Executive Fund..
22 Dec 09 Review of 2009: Seed Investments
2009 is fast coming to a close and this is Seed Investment's final newsletter for the year. The year started off where 2008 had ended; reeling from the final quarter of 2008, but then turned..
22 Dec 09 Ten retirement tips for 2010: Coronation
Pieter Koekemoer , Head of Personal Investments at Coronation Asset Management writes that 2009 started with global financial markets in freefall and the entire financial system in crisis. In an..
22 Dec 09 Three new macro-economic trends to note: Sanlam Investment Managers
Arthur Kamp, Investment Economist from Sanlam Investment Management writes that we should take note of three new macro economic trends: The SA economy is emerges from recession, local inflation..
22 Dec 09 The growing fiscal deficit shows business remains under stress
Mike Ronald, Head: Investment Team at Marriott Asset Management, looks at the latest figures from Treasury and concludes that the business sector remains under pressure. In addition, long bond..
18 Dec 09 Outlook for 2010: Plexus
Dr Prieur du Plessis, chairman of the Plexus Group, sheds some light on his investment team's thinking regarding prospects for the global economy and financial..
18 Dec 09 Dubai 101: Embracing volatility as a friend
Armien Tyer, Managing Director of Sanlam Investment Managers writes that just when investors thought the worst was over and financial markets were headed for calmer waters, Dubai's shock debt..
18 Dec 09 It’s only over when the fat turkey flies home to roost…
Arno Lawrenz of Atlantic Asset Management writes that when comparing current market levels to those of the previous week (bonds remain within kicking distance of its average for the past 31..
15 Dec 09 Our views on the investment landscape: Analytics
Lance Vogel, Chief Investment Officer of Analytics, writes that as we head into the holiday season, it is instructive to reflect on some relevant events over the last few months that will have..
14 Dec 09 Thabo Dloti leaves Old Mutual
Thabo Dloti, CEO of Old Mutual Investment Group South Africa (OMIGSA) has decided to leave Old Mutual to join the Liberty..
14 Dec 09 Local-Foreign vs. Foreign-Foreign
Greg Flash of Alphen Asset Management writes that it would seem that investing in a local, rand denominated global flexible or global equity fund would on average provide more consistent, less..
14 Dec 09 The risk/risk trade-off: Allan Gray
Delphine Govender, Portfolio Manager & Director, Allan Gray Limited, writes that Allan Gray's mission is to provide clients with the highest investment returns at no- greater-than-average risk...
14 Dec 09 How has the buy and hold strategy worked? asks Prieur du Plessis
Prieur du Plessis of Plexus Asset Mangement writes that equity investors who have followed the buy-and-hold strategy in the US market have lost big money over the last ten years in both nominal..
14 Dec 09 Emerging Markets: Year to date up 72%
Dr. Mark Mobius, Executive Chairman, Templeton Asset Management Ltd writes that The MSCI Emerging Markets index ended the month of November 2009 with a 4% gain in US$ terms. Many of the emerging..
14 Dec 09 Prospects for 2010: Not fixed, but better
Jeremy Gardiner, director at Investec Asset Management, looks back on a turbulent eighteen months and sets out what we can expect from..
14 Dec 09 Prospects for 2010: Adrian Clayton
Adrian Clayton, Alphen Asset Management reviews how the company has managed money over the last two years, and notes some concerns for..
14 Dec 09 A classy set of book recommendations for Christmas reading
There are few things more satisfying than a good book. We asked a selection of fund managers to recommend books that they have recently enjoyed, specifically encouraging the inclusion of..

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